← SGCCC Phantom Monarchs season Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at SGCCC Phantom Monarchs season Store Championship
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
4-3-2
overall winrate
55.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.3%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1278
· median 1278
· range 1205–1352
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1022
Q1 1182
Q3 1321
1433
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aetherwing | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.6% | -4.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.6% | +8.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 35.5% | -13.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
